Avalanche Conditions for BC
I will try to post these every Thursday as I get them.
Thank you to the Canadian Avalanche Association for the bi-weekly E-mail



Avalanche Forecast Issued: January 13, 2007


            South Coast
            Avalanche Forecast  Date/Time issued:
                  Valid until:
                 Friday, January 12, 2007  at 3:00 PM
                  Monday, January 15, 2007

            This forecast includes the southern Coast and northern Cascade
Mountain ranges of BC. This region includes mountain areas in the Squamish
to Pemberton corridor, the eastern Coast range from Lilloet through the
Fraser Canyon to Hope, the Coquihalla and Manning Park areas and mountain
areas adjacent to the Fraser Valley. This region does not include the
Vancouver North Shore Mountains or Vancouver Island. This region services
backcountry recreationists from Vancouver, Squamish, Whistler, Pemberton,
Lillooet, Lytton, Hope, Princeton and the Fraser Valley as well as other
visitors to southwest BC.

            Forecast of avalanche danger  Friday, January 12, 2007
                 Friday Saturday Sunday Monday
                  Alpine Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
                  Treeline Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
                  Below Treeline Low Low Low Low

               Avalanche Awareness Days 2007 are coming to a mountain town
near you this weekend! For more information visit
www.avalanche.ca. The
Canadian Avalanche Centre issued a Special Public Avalanche Warning on
Thursday January 11. Further information is available on our website here.
            Travel Advisory:   After weeks of stormy winter weather, cold
and clear conditions have settled into the region. Strong, variable winds
during and after the last storm have affected many slopes at treeline and
above, leaving a surface that varies from scoured to hard and soft wind
slabs. The stability of such variable slabs for rider triggering is
unpredictable in location, size, and timing, especially when cold weather
inhibits bonding of the slabs to the underlying snowpack. Avalanche
conditions are improving, but maybe not in the usual rapid coastal style.
Watch for a snow surface in transition from scoured to wind-loaded,
especially on terrain features above steep convex slopes and along
cross-loaded ribs and gullies. Whumphing and cracking are also important
warning signs. Be aware that wind deposited slabs may be sitting lower in
the start zones than expected. According to the Special Public Avalanche
Warning issued for this weekend, minimize time in the tracks and runout
zones of big avalanche paths that face north or east. Avoid cornices that
grew in recent storms and are getting brittle in the cold.
            Avalanche Activity:   At treeline and above, variable hard and
soft windslabs may remain reactive to human triggering through the forecast
period. It may be possible to trigger soft slabs on steep convex terrain
below treeline where recent snow overlies a buried crust. Where there is
soft snow on steeper terrain, it is sluffing fast, so practice heads-up
sluff management when making turns.
            Snowpack:   The surface snowpack at treeline and above shows a
variety of wind effects, from hard and soft slabs to scouring. This is where
the chief concerns for triggering avalanches lie, with several layers
yielding sudden failures in snowpack tests. The lower snowpack is deep and
well-consolidated.
            Weather:   Through the forecast period, expect light to moderate
winds out of a northerly direction, nil to light snowfalls, and freezing
levels at the surface.

            Issued by:   Tom Chalmers


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            North Columbia
            Avalanche Forecast  Date/Time issued:
                  Valid until:
                 Friday, January 12, 2007  at 4:00 PM
                  Monday, January 15, 2007

            This forecast includes the northern Columbia Mountains,
including the northern Monashee, Cariboo and Selkirk Mountain ranges. This
region includes areas north & east of Kamloops east of the Fraser Plateau
north to Prince George, the Cariboos and Selkirks west of the Rocky Mountain
trench between McBride & Golden and areas north of Highway 1 between
Kamloops & Golden. This region does not include Glacier National Park. This
region services backcountry recreationists from Kamloops, Quesnel, Prince
George, McBride, Valemont, Salmon Arm, Revelstoke, Blue River and Golden, as
well as other visitors to southeastern and central BC.

            Forecast of avalanche danger  Friday, January 12, 2007
                 Friday Saturday Sunday Monday
                  Alpine Considerable Considerable Considerable Considerable
                  Treeline Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
                  Below Treeline Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate

               Avalanche Awareness Days 2007 is coming to a mountain town
near you this weekend! For more information visit
www.avalanche.ca. The
Canadian Avalanche Centre issued a Special Public Avalanche Warning on
Thursday January 11. Further information is available on our website here.
            Travel Advisory:   Careful use of terrain will be particularly
important for the next while, as the CAC is still getting reports of
super-sized avalanches. These are widely distributed around the region,
infrequent and impossible to predict on a slope to slope basis. The best way
to use terrain to your advantage is to avoid areas where these large
avalanches could occur. Stay out of avalanche paths, or cross them one at a
time and quickly if you must. Avoid large, steep, open features in the
alpine. Keep your party away from terrain traps like gullies, places under
cornices or slopes where an avalanche would carry you into trees or rocks or
over a cliff. It's Avalanche Awareness Days across Canada this weekend.
There is likely an event near you where you can find out more about the
Avaluator, a new tool that will help you enjoy years of safe fun in the
mountains.
            Avalanche Activity:   Some smaller avalanches from failures of
shallow wind slabs are being reported in the alpine. Reports of widely
distributed, infrequent large avalanches of size 3 or greater are still
coming in from observers. The potential for these large avalanches will
continue throughout the weekend.
            Snowpack:   The snowpack surface is still suffering from the
affects of wind, with soft and hard slabs frequently found in the alpine and
at treeline. A layer of surface hoar down 110 to 135cm is still a moderate
to hard sudden planar failure in snowpack tests.
            Weather:   Clear, cold and dry conditions will prevail this
weekend. A weak disturbance will track through on Saturday, giving a mix of
sun and cloud, light to moderate NW winds, and up to 5cm of snowfall.

            Issued by:   evan manners


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            South Columbia
            Avalanche Forecast  Date/Time issued:
                  Valid until:
                 Friday, January 12, 2007  at 3:00 PM
                  Monday, January 15, 2007

            This forecast includes the southern Columbia Mountain range,
including the eastern Okanagan Valley, Monashee, Selkirk and Purcell
Mountain ranges. This region includes the eastern side of the Okanagan
Valley from Osoyoos to Enderby, areas south of Highway 1 from Sicamous to
Golden, areas west of the Columbia River between Golden & Kimberley, and
areas north of Kaslo and northwest of Castlegar. This region does not
include Glacier National Park. This region services backcountry
recreationists from the Okanagan, west and east Kootenays, Nakusp,
Revelstoke, Golden and Invermere areas, as well as other visitors to
southeastern BC.

            Forecast of avalanche danger  Friday, January 12, 2007
                 Friday Saturday Sunday Monday
                  Alpine Considerable Considerable Considerable Considerable
                  Treeline Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
                  Below Treeline Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate

               Avalanche Awareness Days 2007 is coming to a mountain town
near you this weekend! For more information visit
www.avalanche.ca. The
Canadian Avalanche Centre issued a Special Public Avalanche Warning on
Thursday January 11. Further information is available on our website here.
            Travel Advisory:   The primary concern right now is a mid
snowpack layer of weak crystals that is still causing some super-sized
avalanches, although these events are rare. We're faced with the simple fact
that an avalanche is unlikely right now, but if it happens it will most
likely be very large and dangerous.  How do we deal with this? Ask a snow
professional that question and the likely answer will be, "Use the terrain
to your advantage." Stay away from steep, large, open features in the
alpine. Stay out of avalanche paths, or cross them one at a time and quickly
if you must. Avoid terrain traps like gullies, places under cornices or
slopes where an avalanche would carry you into trees or rocks or over a
cliff. It's Avalanche Awareness Days across Canada this weekend. There is
likely an event near you where you can find out more about the Avaluator, a
new tool that will help expand your potential to have safe fun in the
mountains.
            Avalanche Activity:   Some smaller avalanches have been reported
in the alpine. Perhaps more important are reports of widely distributed,
infrequent, large avalanches of size 3 or greater. The potential for these
large avalanches will continue throughout the weekend.
            Snowpack:   Some wind slabs are still found in the alpine and at
treeline, but these are getting stronger daily. A layer of surface hoar down
100 to 125cm is the greatest concern right now, as it is still a distinct
moderate to hard, sudden planar failure in snowpack tests.
            Weather:   Cold arctic air is stationary over the region right
now, giving predominantly cold, clear and dry conditions. A weak disturbance
will track across the region Saturday, causing light SW winds and brief snow
showers.

            Issued by:   evan manners


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            Kootenay Boundary
            Avalanche Forecast  Date/Time issued:
                  Valid until:
                 Friday, January 12, 2007  at 3:00 PM
                  Monday, January 15, 2007

            This forecast includes the southern edge of the Columbia
Mountain Range bordering the US/Canada border, including parts of the
Monashee, Selkirk and Purcell Mountain ranges. This region includes mountain
areas east of Greenwood, southeast of Castlegar, the Selkirk Mountains near
Nelson, Kootenay Pass, and the southern Purcell range west of Kimberley and
Cranbrook to the US border. This region services backcountry recreationists
from the southern Okanagan, Castlegar, Trail, Nelson, Kaslo, Kimberley,
Creston and Cranbrook areas, as well as other visitors to southern BC.

            Forecast of avalanche danger  Friday, January 12, 2007
                 Friday Saturday Sunday Monday
                  Alpine Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
                  Treeline Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
                  Below Treeline Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate

               Avalanche Awareness Days 2007 is coming to a mountain town
near you this weekend! For more information visit
www.avalanche.ca. The
Canadian Avalanche Centre issued a Special Public Avalanche Warning on
Thursday January 11. Further information is available on our website here.
            Travel Advisory:   Down parkas are the outerwear of choice this
weekend! The cold is helping to keep the avalanche danger down by making the
surface layers of the snowpack stiffer. A layer of buried surface hoar
causing infrequent but large avalanches to occur is thankfully not as
prevalent in the Kootenay Boundary region. Some reports have come in of
avalanches failing on this layer as recently as last Thursday. Avoid large,
open features in the alpine and around treeline, particularly on shaded
north aspects that are protected from the wind. Steer clear of terrain traps
like gullies, moraines and areas where an avalanche could carry you into
trees or over a cliff. It's Avalanche Awareness Days across Canada this
weekend. There is likely an event near you where you can find out more about
the Avaluator, a new tool that will help you enjoy safe fun in the
mountains.
            Avalanche Activity:   Some smaller human triggered and natural
avalanches are still occurring in the alpine, failing in wind slabs left
over from the recent storms. There have been some reports of large
avalanches failing on a layer of surface hoar, usually but not always from
steep north facing aspects.
            Snowpack:   Some windslabs are found at the surface in the
alpine, and these can still be triggered by skiers, boarders or sledders on
steeper slopes. The two weeks of relatively steady snowfall before the cold
snap has added greatly to the overall snowpack depth. It has also added load
to any buried weaknesses, bringing them to near threshold in some cases. The
layer of buried surface hoar from January 1st is the greatest concern. It is
down about 80cm, found in sheltered glades, usually near treeline on steep,
shaded slopes.
            Weather:   Clear, cold and dry conditions will be the main
weather feature until at least Monday. A very weak disturbance may cause
some light winds, patches of cloud and some snow showers on Saturday.

            Issued by:   evan manners


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              This forecast sponsored by:


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            South Rockies
            Avalanche Forecast  Date/Time issued:
                  Valid until:
                 Friday, January 12, 2007  at 4:00 PM
                  Monday, January 15, 2007

            This forecast includes the southeastern corner of BC within the
Rocky Mountain Range. This region includes mountain areas in the Elk Valley
between Fernie and Elkford, areas east of the Rocky Mountain trench between
Canal Flats and Cranbrook, and areas within the BC side of the Crowsnest
Pass. This region does not include Kananaskis Country or areas in Kootenay
or Waterton Lakes National Parks. This region services backcountry
recreationists from Cranbrook, Kimberley, Fernie, Sparwood and Elkford, as
well as other visitors to the southeastern corner of BC.

            Forecast of avalanche danger  Friday, January 12, 2007
                 Friday Saturday Sunday Monday
                  Alpine Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
                  Treeline Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
                  Below Treeline Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate

               Avalanche Awareness Days 2007 are coming to a mountain town
near you this weekend! For more information visit
www.avalanche.ca. The
Canadian Avalanche Centre issued a Special Public Avalanche Warning on
Thursday January 11. Further information is available on our website here.
            Travel Advisory:   Although the South Rockies crowd is more
acclimatized to cold than some, it's still going to be a frosty weekend.
After almost two weeks of stormy weather keeping people out of the
mountains, the clear skies have most making plans to be out and about this
weekend despite the temperatures. There are still some reports of large,
dangerous avalanches occurring, although these are widely scattered and
infrequent. Avoiding big, open terrain in the alpine is the best way to
reduce this potential danger. It's Avalanche Awareness Days across Canada
this weekend. There is likely an event near you where you can find out more
about the Avaluator, a new tool that will help expand your potential to have
safe fun in the mountains.
            Avalanche Activity:   A very few explosive triggered avalanches
were reported on Thursday. Nothing was seen on Friday. Cornice fall is still
possible with any winds in the alpine. The potential to trigger and
propagate a large avalanche is greatest in the shallow, weak snow at the
edge of wind loaded pockets in the alpine.
            Snowpack:   The cold weather has locked up the surface layers of
the snowpack. Wind slabs are present in the alpine, but very stiff due to
the cold. Faceting is progressing rapidly and beginning to erode strength in
shallow snow and around rocks and stumps, creating potential trigger points.
            Weather:   Clear, cold and dry conditions will prevail
throughout the forecast period.

            Issued by:   evan manners


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            North Rockies - BC
            Avalanche Report  Date/Time issued:
                  Valid until:
                 Thursday, January 11, 2007  at 3:00 PM
                  Thursday, January 18, 2007

            This report includes the Rocky Mountain ranges south of the
Peace Reach of Williston Lake and north of the Fraser River. The west
boundary lies on the Parsnip Reach of Williston Lake, the Crooked River,
Bear and Summit Lakes. The east boundary runs from Hudson's Hope, west of
Chewynd and Tumbler Ridge, then east of Kakwa Recreation Area, south along
the Alberta/BC border, and west of Mt. Robson Park.

            Forecast of avalanche danger  Thursday, January 11, 2007

                  Alpine
                  Treeline
                  Below Treeline


            Travel Advisory:   The region now sits under clear skies and
cold air after some intense recent winter weather, which dropped 60-100cm of
snow that was heavily affected by strong winds at upper elevations. The main
concern is the existing windslabs on many slopes at treeline and alpine
elevations and how long it will take them to bond to the strong underlying
snowpack. Before venturing onto big slopes, take appropriate caution and
travel on slopes 30 degrees or less that are not exposed to steeper terrain
overhead, watching for signs of instability like snowpack cracking and
whumphing, recent avalanches, and wind drifts.
            Avalanche Activity:   There is a lack of current reports, but it
is likely that there are triggerable windslabs on slopes steeper than 30
degrees at treeline and above, especially those with convex terrain
features.
            Snowpack:   The region has a good lower snowpack that sits under
variable windslabs on many slopes at upper elevations. The current cold
weather may keep these slabs from bonding quickly to the snowpack, so
cautious travel is advised.
            Weather:   Artic air is now digging its heels into the region.
Expect continued cold temperatures, clear skies, and light-moderate winds
for the near future. When the weather does change, expect avalanche
conditions to do the same.

            Issued by:   Tom Chalmers


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            Northwest - BC
            Avalanche Forecast  Date/Time issued:
                  Valid until:
                 Friday, January 12, 2007  at 3:00 PM
                  Monday, January 15, 2007

            This forecast includes northwest BC coastal and inland areas in
the Coast, Skeena and Hazelton Mountain ranges. This region includes the
Coast Mountains east of Prince Rupert, north of Kitimat and east of Stewart,
the Skeena Mountains from Ningunsaw Pass in the north to New Hazelton in the
south, and the Hazelton Mountains between Terrace and Smithers. This region
services backcountry recreationists from Prince Rupert, Kitimat, Smithers,
Terrace and Stewart as well as other visitors to northwest BC.

            Forecast of avalanche danger  Friday, January 12, 2007
                 Friday Saturday Sunday Monday
                  Alpine Considerable Moderate Moderate Considerable
                  Treeline Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
                  Below Treeline Low Low Low Moderate

               Avalanche Awareness Days 2007 are coming to a mountain town
near you this weekend! For more information visit
www.avalanche.ca. The
Canadian Avalanche Centre issued a Special Public Avalanche Warning on
Thursday January 11. Further information is available on our website here.
            Travel Advisory:   After an unrelenting procession of winter
storms, clear and cold weather has finally settled into the region. Strong,
variable winds during and after the last storm have affected many slopes at
upper elevations and perhaps some slopes below treeline, leaving a surface
that varies from scoured to hard and soft wind slabs. Ski testing has shown
these slabs to be reactive, so safe travel will involve identifying and
avoiding the areas where they exist, choosing alternate slopes that are
smaller and less steep. Watch for a snow surface in transition from scoured
to wind-loaded, especially on terrain features above steep convex slopes and
along cross-loaded ribs and gullies. Whumphing and cracking are also
important warning signs. The moderate snow and wind forecast to begin on
Sunday may form new slabs, which will be slow to bond to a snow surface that
is currently weakening in the cold. According to the Special Public
Avalanche Warning issued for this weekend, minimize time in the tracks and
runout zones of big avalanche paths that face north or east. Avoid cornices
that grew in recent storms and are getting brittle in the cold.
            Avalanche Activity:   There have been some isolated natural
avalanches fromloading by the NE winds after the last storm. Wind slabs on
many slopes at treeline and above are reactive to ski and snowpack testing,
and are quite capable of producing avalanches big enough to bury and kill.
            Snowpack:   The snow surface at treeline and above is highly
wind affected and variable, with windslabs on many slopes. These slabs may
be slow to stabilize under current cold temperatures. The lower snowpack is
deep and well-consolidated.
            Weather:   Light snow and winds through Saturday. Sunday: 5-10cm
snow, moderate SW winds. Monday: 5-10cm snow, moderate SW winds. Freezing
levels at surface through the forecast period.

            Issued by:   Tom Chalmers


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            Bighorn Country - AB
            Avalanche Report  Date/Time issued:
                  Valid until:
                 Thursday, January 11, 2007  at 3:00 PM
                  Thursday, January 18, 2007

            This region includes the Rocky Mountains between the Alberta/BC
boundary and the Forestry Trunk Road, north of the Red Deer River. The
northern boundary goes east on the Cline River, north on the height of land
between Coral and McDonald Creeks, east through Coral Lake to the confluence
of the Bighorn River and Sunkay Creek, then parallel to highway 11 through
Shunda Creek, and then encircles Nordegg.

            Report of avalanche danger  Thursday, January 11, 2007

                  Alpine
                  Treeline
                  Below Treeline


            Travel Advisory:   This week saw 5-15cm of new snow followed by
strong Easterly winds. Widespread, variable windslabs exist at all
elevations, which are sitting on a shallow, weak snowpack. These windslabs
may be unstable enough to release naturally if affected by snow, wind, or
sun, and are likely to be triggerable by people. This is a special concern
for snow slopes above and between pitches on ice climbs, remembering that
even small avalanches carry high consequences for people on the ice. As for
you unfortunate sledders in the region, travel conditions remain thin and
marginal and a great way to spend money on new trailing arms and belly pans.
            Avalanche Activity:   This week, there were a few loose snow
avalanches big enough to push climbers into a fall, from slopes facing South
and East. Watch for windslabs on many slopes, some of which were cracking on
steep slopes facing North and East at treeline and below this week.
            Snowpack:   The region's snowpack features variable windslabs
overlying a thin weak snowpack. Snow depths are generally 30-50cm in the
alpine, 30cm at treeline, and 20-30cm below treeline. The region has been
greatly affected by the wind in recent weeks, so expect to see big
variations from the snow depths listed above.
            Weather:   A mix of sun and clouds, with temperatures -10
to -20, possibly getting warmer in the daytime by early next week.

            Issued by:   Tom Chalmers


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      Important Notice: This is a regional forecast and significant
variation may exist within the forecast area. The information and danger
ratings are intended as a trip planning aid for recreational, backcountry
users of avalanche terrain; they are not meant to be used as the sole factor
in determining the avalanche danger presented by a specific slope. Always
include local weather, snowpack and avalanche observations in your decision
to travel in avalanche terrain. Observations and experience may lead to
different conclusions from what is reported or recommended. See disclaimer
for further details. The technical data used to produce these bulletins is
obtained from a variety of sources, including various government agencies
and private companies that participate in an industry-wide daily information
exchange program. These contributors provide data, resources, and funding
without which the Canadian Avalanche Centre could not provide this avalanche
information.
      Avalanche information for other regions in western Canada is available
toll-free at 1-800-667-1105 or online at
www.avalanche.ca



 

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